Izinga lokukhula kwe-China lokuthumela impahla kwamanye amazwe ezingxenyeni ezintathu zokuqala zonyaka wezi-2024 lehle kakhulu kulo nyaka, imali enqwabelene yohwebo yayiphansi kunalokho obekulindelwe, futhi imboni yamakhemikhali ibhekane nezinselele ezinzima!

I-General Administration of Customs isanda kukhipha ngokusemthethweni idatha yokungenisa nokuthekelisa kwezingxenye ezintathu zokuqala zonyaka wezi-2024. Idatha ibonisa ukuthi ngokwemibandela yedola laseMelika, ukuthengwa kwezimpahla zaseChina ngoSepthemba kukhuphuke ngo-0.3% unyaka nonyaka, ngaphansi kwalokho okulindelwe yimakethe ngo-0.9%, futhi yehla enanini langaphambili lika-0.50%; ukuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe kukhuphuke ngo-2.4% unyaka nonyaka, nakho kwehla okulindelwe yimakethe ngo-6%, futhi Kuphansi kakhulu kunevelu yangaphambilini engu-8.70%. Ngaphezu kwalokho, imali enqwabelene yohwebo yaseShayina ngoSepthemba yayingamaRandi ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingama-81.71, nayo eyayiphansi kunezilinganiso zemakethe zamaRandi ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingama-89.8 kanye nenani langaphambilini lama-US$91.02 wezigidigidi. Nakuba isaqhubeka nokukhula okuhle, izinga lokukhula lehla kakhulu futhi lehla kulokho okwakulindelwe yimakethe. Kuyaphawuleka ukuthi izinga lokukhula kokuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe kule nyanga beliphansi kakhulu kulo nyaka, futhi libuyele ezingeni eliphansi kakhulu kusukela ngoFebhuwari 2024 unyaka nonyaka.

Ukusabela ekwehleni okuphawulekayo kwedatha yezomnotho eshiwo ngenhla, ochwepheshe bezimboni benze ukuhlaziya okujulile futhi baveza ukuthi ukwehla komnotho emhlabeni wonke kuyisici esibalulekile esingenakuzitshwa. I-Global Production Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) yehle izinyanga ezine zilandelana yafika ezingeni eliphansi kakhulu kusukela ngo-Okthoba 2023, okuholele ngokuqondile ukwehla kwama-oda amasha ezwe lami lokuthumela ngaphandle. Lesi simo asikhombisi nje kuphela ukuncipha kwesidingo emakethe yamazwe ngamazwe, kodwa futhi sinomthelela omkhulu emithethweni emisha yezwe lami yokuthumela ngaphandle, okulenza libhekane nezinselele ezinzima.

Ukuhlaziywa okujulile kwezimbangela zalesi simo "esiqandisiwe" kuveza ukuthi kunezici eziningi eziyinkimbinkimbi ngemuva kwaso. Kulo nyaka, izivunguvungu bezivame futhi zishube kakhulu, zaphazamisa kakhulu ukuhleleka kwezinto zokuhamba olwandle, okubangele ukuminyana kwamatheku emikhumbi yezwe lami ngoSepthemba kufinyelele umvuthwandaba kusukela ngo-2019, okuqhubekisela phambili ubunzima nokungaqiniseki kwezimpahla eziya olwandle. Ngaso leso sikhathi, ukuqhubeka nokudlondlobala kwezingxabano zezohwebo, ukungaqiniseki kwenqubomgomo okwalethwa ukhetho lwase-US, kanye nokufika kwangqingetshe ezingxoxweni zokuvuselela izinkontileka zomsebenzi zabasebenzi basezikhumulweni zemikhumbi ogwini olusempumalanga ye-United States sekuhlangene kwakha izinto eziningi ezingaziwa nezinselele. endaweni yokuhweba yangaphandle.

Lezi zici ezingazinzile azigcini nje ngokukhuphula izindleko zokuthengiselana, kodwa futhi zenza buthaka kakhulu ukuzethemba kwemakethe, zibe amandla abalulekile angaphandle avimbela ukusebenza kwezwe lami kwamanye amazwe. Ngokumelene nalesi sizinda, isimo sakamuva sokuthekelisa ezimbonini eziningi asinaso ithemba, futhi imboni yamakhemikhali evamile, njengomgogodla womkhakha wezimboni, ayivikelekile. Ithebula lango-Agasti 2024 lokwakhiwa kwempahla yokungenisa nokuthekelisa (inani le-RMB) elikhishwe yi-General Administration of Customs libonisa ukuthi ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kwamakhemikhali angaphili, ezinye izinto zokusetshenziswa zamakhemikhali kanye nemikhiqizo kwehle kakhulu unyaka nonyaka, kwafinyelela ku-24.9% no-5.9%. ngokulandelana.

Ukubhekwa okwengeziwe kwedatha yaseShayina yokuthekelisa amakhemikhali engxenyeni yokuqala yalo nyaka kukhombisa ukuthi phakathi kwezimakethe ezinhlanu eziphezulu zaphesheya kwezilwandle, ukuthunyelwa kwe-India kwehle ngo-9.4% unyaka nonyaka. Ezimakethe zaphesheya kwezilwandle eziphezulu ezingama-20, ukuthunyelwa kwamakhemikhali asekhaya emazweni athuthukile ngokuvamile kukhombisa ukwehla. Lo mkhuba ukhombisa ukuthi izinguquko esimweni samazwe ngamazwe zibe nomthelela omkhulu ekuthengiseni amakhemikhali ezweni lami.

Njengoba zibhekene nesimo semakethe esinzima, izinkampani eziningi zibike ukuthi namanje alukho uphawu lokululama kuma-oda akamuva. Izinkampani zamakhemikhali ezifundazweni ezimbalwa ezithuthuke kwezomnotho zihlangabezane nenkinga yokushoda kwemali, kanti inqwaba yezinkampani ibhekene nenkinga yokungabi nama-oda okumele yenze. Ukuze zibhekane nengcindezi yokusebenza, izinkampani kufanele zisebenzise izindlela ezinjengokudilizwa, ukuncishiswa kwamaholo, ngisho nokumiswa kwebhizinisi okwesikhashana.

Ziningi izinto eziholele kulesi simo. Ngokungeziwe ku-force majeure yaphesheya kanye nemakethe evilaphayo ezansi nomfula, izinkinga zokugcwala ngokweqile, ukugcwala kwemakethe, kanye ne-homogeneity yomkhiqizo obucayi emakethe yamakhemikhali nazo ziyizizathu ezibalulekile. Lezi zinkinga ziholele ekutheni kube nokuncintisana okubi embonini okwenza kube nzima ukuthi izinkampani zizikhiphe kule nkinga.

Ukuze kutholwe indlela yokuphuma, izinkampani zokumboza nezamakhemikhali bezifuna indlela yokuphuma emakethe etholakala ngokweqile. Kodwa-ke, uma kuqhathaniswa nendlela entsha edla isikhathi neyokutshalwa kwezimali kanye nocwaningo nentuthuko, izinkampani eziningi zikhethe "umuthi osebenza ngokushesha" wezimpi zamanani kanye nokujikeleza kwangaphakathi. Nakuba lokhu kuziphatha kombono omfushane kungadambisa ingcindezi yezinkampani esikhathini esifushane, kungase kuqinise ukuncintisana okunonya kanye nezingozi zokwehla kwamandla emali ezimakethe ngokuhamba kwesikhathi.

Eqinisweni, le ngozi isivele iqalile ukuvela emakethe. Maphakathi no-Okthoba 2024, amanani entengo ezinhlobonhlobo eziningi kuma-ejensi ekhowutheshini abalulekile embonini yamakhemikhali ehle kakhulu, ngesilinganiso sokwehla ngo-18.1%. Izinkampani ezihamba phambili ezifana neSinopec, Lihuayi, ne-Wanhua Chemical zihambe phambili ekwehliseni amanani, kanti ezinye intengo zemikhiqizo zehle ngaphezu kuka-10%. Okufihlwe ngemuva kwalesi simo ingozi yokwehla kwamandla emali yayo yonke imakethe, okudinga ukuheha ukunakwa okuphezulu okuvela ngaphakathi nangaphandle kwemboni.


Isikhathi sokuthumela: Oct-23-2024